La scuola delle quote

Amanda Anisimova v Madison Keys

Inizio: 2026-07-04 15:24 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Amanda Anisimova (Casa)

Previsione 39.78%2.51quota equa
EV +4.63%
Vantaggio +1.76%
Kelly +2.84%
Crescita +0.132%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.80%39.77%39.85%43.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.412.402.6347.62%41.43%41.67%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Madison Keys (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.22%1.66quota equa
EV +1.76%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +2.56%
Crescita +0.045%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.67%60.23%60.15%64.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.551.561.6969.93%64.60%64.10%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -12.08%E -8.28%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -13.89%E -9.71%K -32.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 15:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.13%E -0.866%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 15:15
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 15:05
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:20
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 15:00
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 15:00
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.07%E -6.01%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:20
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 15:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.71%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:00
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:04
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:20
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:20
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 15:00
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 15:20
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -12.08%E -5.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.56%G +0.045%4.4%2026-07-04 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -14.46%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 15:18
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -16.45%E -7.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-04 15:20
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-07-04 15:20