Language:English
Polina Kudermetova v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Polina Kudermetova (Local)
Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV +9.02%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.214%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%24.06%23.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.874.184.304.8053.48%23.91%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 77.29%1.29fair odd
EV +44.53%
Edge +23.81%
Kelly +51.18%
Growth +22.79%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%75.94%76.85%80.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.211.8786.96%81.37%82.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 22.71%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 77.29%. For Elina Svitolina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +44.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -57.53%E -30.76%K -66.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +44.53%E +23.81%K +51.18%G +22.79% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.50%E -5.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -2.62%E -2.08%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 01:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 01:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.33%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV +8.34%E +1.75%K +2.21%G +0.185% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 01:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 01:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +9.02%E +1.88%K +2.37%G +0.214% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.57%E -8.18%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +5.62%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.12%E -9.67%K -74.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
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