Idioma:Español
Polina Kudermetova v Elina Svitolina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Polina Kudermetova (Local)
Predicción 22.71%4.40momio equitativo
EV +9.02%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.214%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%24.06%23.15%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.874.184.304.8053.48%23.91%23.26%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elina Svitolina (Visitante)
Predicción 77.29%1.29momio equitativo
EV +44.53%
Ventaja +23.81%
Kelly +51.18%
Crecimiento +22.79%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%75.94%76.85%80.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.231.211.8786.96%81.37%82.64%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 22.71%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 77.29%. Para Elina Svitolina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +44.53%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -57.53%E -30.76%K -66.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +44.53%E +23.81%K +51.18%G +22.79% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.50%E -5.86%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -2.62%E -2.08%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 01:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 01:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.33%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV +8.34%E +1.75%K +2.21%G +0.185% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 01:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 01:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 01:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +9.02%E +1.88%K +2.37%G +0.214% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.57%E -8.18%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +5.62%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.086% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.12%E -9.67%K -74.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 01:20 |