Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Polina Kudermetova v Elina Svitolina

Início: 2026-07-31 01:22 UTC

Final: Polina Kudermetova 0–2 Elina Svitolina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Previsão 22.71%4.40odd justa
EV +9.02%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescimento +0.214%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.60%24.06%23.15%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.874.184.304.8053.48%23.91%23.26%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Previsão 77.29%1.29odd justa
EV +44.53%
Vantagem +23.81%
Kelly +51.18%
Crescimento +22.79%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%75.94%76.85%80.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.231.211.8786.96%81.37%82.64%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 22.71%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 77.29%. Para Elina Svitolina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +44.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -57.53%E -30.76%K -66.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +44.53%E +23.81%K +51.18%G +22.79%7.0%2026-07-31 01:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:19
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.50%E -5.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 01:19
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 01:19
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -2.62%E -2.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 01:18
Pinnacle🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 01:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:19
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:14
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:19
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.33%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 01:19
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 00:59
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 01:19
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 01:19
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:05
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:20
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:15
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
DraftKings🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV +8.34%E +1.75%K +2.21%G +0.185%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 01:20
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 01:03
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 22:40
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 01:19
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 01:00
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 01:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:40
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +9.02%E +1.88%K +2.37%G +0.214%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.57%E -8.18%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:18
Fliff🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +5.62%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.086%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.12%E -9.67%K -74.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 01:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-07-31 01:20
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%3.0%2026-07-31 01:20