Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Polina Kudermetova v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 01:22 UTC

Score final : Polina Kudermetova 0–2 Elina Svitolina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prévision 22.71%4.40cote équitable
EV +9.02%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.214%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.60%24.06%23.15%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.874.184.304.8053.48%23.91%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.29%1.29cote équitable
EV +44.53%
Avantage +23.81%
Kelly +51.18%
Croissance +22.79%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%75.94%76.85%80.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.231.211.8786.96%81.37%82.64%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Polina Kudermetova (Local) : 22.71% ; Elina Svitolina (Visiteur) : 77.29%. Pour Elina Svitolina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.29. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.87, soit une espérance positive de +44.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -57.53%E -30.76%K -66.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +44.53%E +23.81%K +51.18%G +22.79%7.0%2026-07-31 01:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.23%E -5.06%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:19
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.50%E -5.86%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.07%E -0.838%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 01:19
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 01:19
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -1.85%E -1.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -2.62%E -2.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 01:18
Pinnacle🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -14.14%E -3.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.39%E -2.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 01:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:19
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:14
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 01:19
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.33%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.16%E -3.36%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 01:19
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 00:59
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 01:19
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.94%E -4.01%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 01:19
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:05
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 01:20
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.71%E -4.68%K -25.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +6.07%E +1.30%K +1.65%G +0.100%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:15
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.48%E -5.36%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:40
DraftKings🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV +8.34%E +1.75%K +2.21%G +0.185%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 01:20
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.21%E +0.491%K +0.631%G +0.014%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 01:03
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.65%E -0.381%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 22:40
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.33%E -0.543%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 01:19
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 01:00
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.26%E -6.05%K -36.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 01:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -3.47%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.03%E -6.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:40
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +9.02%E +1.88%K +2.37%G +0.214%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.57%E -8.18%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:18
Fliff🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +5.62%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.086%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.12%E -9.67%K -74.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 01:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-31 01:20
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-07-31 01:20
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-07-31 01:20
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%3.0%2026-07-31 01:20