Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Alexandra Eala
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 59.52%1.68fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.93%59.54%59.55%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.571.7165.36%63.04%63.69%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexandra Eala (Visit)
Prediction 40.48%2.47fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.46%40.45%44.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.332.352.5046.08%42.85%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 59.52%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 40.48%. For Naomi Osaka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV +1.78%E +1.04%K +2.51%G +0.045% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.38%E -1.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.11%E -3.57%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.20%E +0.478%K +0.797%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
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