Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka v Alexandra Eala

2026-08-01 19:10 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Predicción 62.70%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%62.67%62.79%64.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.501.5668.97%66.07%66.45%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 37.30%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%37.33%37.21%39.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.542.6542.55%39.74%39.37%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Naomi Osaka (Local): 62.70%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 37.30%. Para Alexandra Eala (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.65, con un valor esperado de -1.15%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 07:09
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 07:09
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 08:19
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 08:24
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 07:04
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 08:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 08:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 07:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 06:19
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 07:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:14
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 07:09
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:25
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 07:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 07:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 07:04
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 07:09
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 07:09
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 08:20
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 07:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 07:09
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:14
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:09
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:09
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:08
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 06:19
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 07:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:19
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.62%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 07:08
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 06:54
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 07:10
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 06:19
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 06:24
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -7.11%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 07:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:20
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:18
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 08:09
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 06:19
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.84%E -5.33%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 07:10
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.09%E -6.27%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.15%E -0.432%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 05:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-01 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-01 08:50
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-01 08:40
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-08-01 08:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%4.6%2026-08-01 08:40