Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Naomi Osaka v Alexandra Eala

Początek: 2026-08-01 19:50 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Naomi Osaka 0–2 Alexandra Eala

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.52%1.68kurs godziwy
EV +1.78%
Przewaga +1.04%
Kelly +2.51%
Wzrost +0.045%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.93%59.54%59.55%62.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.591.571.7165.36%63.04%63.69%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexandra Eala (Goście)

Prognoza 40.48%2.47kurs godziwy
EV +1.20%
Przewaga +0.478%
Kelly +0.797%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.97%40.46%40.45%44.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.172.332.352.5046.08%42.85%42.55%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze): 59.52%; Alexandra Eala (Goście): 40.48%. Dla wyniku Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.68. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.71, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.78%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV +1.78%E +1.04%K +2.51%G +0.045%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.38%E -1.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.11%E -3.57%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:35
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:40
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:25
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:35
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 19:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 17:25
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.20%E +0.478%K +0.797%G +0.010%5.4%2026-08-01 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 19:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 19:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-08-01 19:40
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-01 19:44
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-08-01 19:45