Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka v Alexandra Eala

Início: 2026-08-01 19:50 UTC

Final: Naomi Osaka 0–2 Alexandra Eala

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 59.52%1.68odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.93%59.54%59.55%62.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.571.7165.36%63.04%63.69%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Previsão 40.48%2.47odd justa
EV +1.20%
Vantagem +0.478%
Kelly +0.797%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%40.46%40.45%44.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.332.352.5046.08%42.85%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Naomi Osaka (Local): 59.52%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 40.48%. Para Naomi Osaka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.68. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.71, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV +1.78%E +1.04%K +2.51%G +0.045%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.38%E -1.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.11%E -3.57%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:35
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:40
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:25
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:35
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 19:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:24
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 17:25
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.15%E -4.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.69%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.20%E +0.478%K +0.797%G +0.010%5.4%2026-08-01 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 19:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-01 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-01 19:45
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-08-01 19:40
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-01 19:44
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-08-01 19:45