The School of OddsLanguage:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV +0.184%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%25.96%25.91%27.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.703.8629.85%27.51%27.03%25.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 74.05%1.35fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -12.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%74.04%74.09%74.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.00%78.13%76.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.184%E +0.048%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 07:16 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 06:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 06:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 06:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 06:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.75%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 06:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:25 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 01:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 05:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 07:05 |
| ReBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| Novig | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 07:20 |