Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-07-27 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 26.05%3.84odd justa
EV +0.290%
Vantagem +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.05%26.27%26.01%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.603.653.8530.77%27.75%27.40%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 73.95%1.35odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -4.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%73.73%73.99%74.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.281.281.3380.65%77.89%78.13%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 26.05%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 73.95%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.290%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.290%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 21:35
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 11:20
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 21:05
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 21:35
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 21:49
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
DraftKings🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.39%E -1.81%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 20:05
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 21:05
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:05
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 10:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 09:15
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 09:45
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 09:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.82%E -5.41%K -26.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 06:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.30%E -6.69%K -34.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 19:25
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 21:51
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 21:50
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 01:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 10:30
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 09:10
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 19:55
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 02:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 08:40
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 21:30
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.65%E -1.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 10:05
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 21:55
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 21:51
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-07-27 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-07-27 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-07-27 21:46
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-07-27 21:41
ProphetX4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-07-27 21:55
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%2.4%2026-07-27 21:45
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.5%2026-07-27 21:55