A Escola das Odds

Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys

2026-07-27 22:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 25.95%3.85odd justa
EV +0.184%
Vantagem +0.048%
Kelly +0.064%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.05%25.96%25.91%27.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.633.703.8629.85%27.51%27.03%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 74.05%1.35odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -2.88%
Kelly -12.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.04%74.04%74.09%74.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.00%78.13%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.184%E +0.048%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 07:16
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:21
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 06:24
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 06:25
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:45
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:24
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
DraftKings3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.75%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 06:55
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:15
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:25
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 02:00
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 06:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 01:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 05:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 02:10
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 07:05
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 06:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-07-27 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 07:50