Idioma:Español
Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV +0.290%
Ventaja +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%26.27%26.01%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.653.8530.77%27.75%27.40%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 73.95%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -4.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.73%73.99%74.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.281.3380.65%77.89%78.13%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 26.05%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 73.95%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.290%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.290%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.39%E -1.81%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 10:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.82%E -5.41%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.30%E -6.69%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.65%E -1.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 21:51 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:41 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90% | 3.5% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |