Langue:Français
Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV +0.290%
Avantage +0.075%
Kelly +0.102%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%26.27%26.01%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.653.8530.77%27.75%27.40%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Madison Keys (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.95%1.35cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -4.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.73%73.99%74.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.281.3380.65%77.89%78.13%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Liudmila Samsonova (Local) : 26.05% ; Madison Keys (Visiteur) : 73.95%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.84. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.290%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.290%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.01%E -0.266%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.58%E -0.689%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.62%E -0.978%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.39%E -1.81%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 10:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.82%E -5.41%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.30%E -6.69%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.65%E -1.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 21:51 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 21:41 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90% | 3.5% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |