L’École des cotes

Liudmila Samsonova v Madison Keys

2026-07-27 22:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV +0.184%
Avantage +0.048%
Kelly +0.064%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%25.96%25.91%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.703.8629.85%27.51%27.03%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.05%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -12.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%74.04%74.09%74.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.00%78.13%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.184%E +0.048%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 07:16
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:21
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 06:24
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.45%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 06:25
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:45
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:24
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
DraftKings3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.75%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 06:55
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:15
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:25
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:15
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 02:00
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 06:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 01:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 05:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 02:10
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 07:05
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 06:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-07-27 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 06:20
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-07-27 07:50