Language:English
Leylah Fernandez v Magda Linette
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leylah Fernandez (Local)
Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.34%62.47%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.71%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magda Linette (Visit)
Prediction 37.68%2.65fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%37.66%37.53%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.10%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 62.32%; Magda Linette (Visit): 37.68%. For Magda Linette (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-27 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.03%E -0.782%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 12:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 02:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 03:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
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