Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leylah Fernandez v Magda Linette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prévision 62.32%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.34%62.47%63.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.71%65.36%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Magda Linette (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.68%2.65cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.88%37.66%37.53%39.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.10%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leylah Fernandez (Local) : 62.32% ; Magda Linette (Visiteur) : 37.68%. Pour Magda Linette (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.65. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.60, pour une espérance de -2.03% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-27 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 08:45
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 11:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.03%E -0.782%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 12:01
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 12:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 08:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:54
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 08:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-07-27 14:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-07-27 14:55