La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Magda Linette

2026-07-27 15:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 62.11%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -5.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%62.14%62.03%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.531.531.5667.11%65.35%65.36%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Predicción 37.89%2.64momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%37.86%37.97%39.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.502.502.5742.55%40.02%40.00%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.11%E -1.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.62%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.11%E -1.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.62%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 02:05
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.11%E -1.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 05:30
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -2.62%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 05:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 01:55
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -5.65%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 04:06
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 02:55
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.35%E -2.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 04:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.35%E -2.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 01:55
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.76%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 01:55
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:40
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:35
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:01
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.97%E -3.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:25
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.59%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:50
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.59%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:44
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.59%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.59%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -7.55%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 03:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.83%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 08:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.83%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.83%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 02:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.83%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.93%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 03:25
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.46%E -5.00%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.65%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-27 07:40
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-27 05:20
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-27 08:01