La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Leylah Fernandez v Magda Linette

Inicio: 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 62.32%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%62.34%62.47%63.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.71%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.782%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.88%37.66%37.53%39.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.10%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 62.32%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 37.68%. Para Magda Linette (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.60, con un valor esperado de -2.03%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-27 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 08:45
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 11:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.03%E -0.782%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 12:01
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 12:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 08:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:54
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 08:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-07-27 14:45
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-07-27 14:55