Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez v Magda Linette

Início: 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Previsão 62.32%1.60odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.26%62.34%62.47%63.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.71%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Previsão 37.68%2.65odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.782%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.88%37.66%37.53%39.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.10%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 62.32%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 37.68%. Para Magda Linette (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.65. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.60, com valor esperado de -2.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-27 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 11:20
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.40%E -2.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.45%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 11:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.54%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 08:45
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 01:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 11:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.03%E -0.782%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 12:01
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 08:45
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 12:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 08:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:54
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.05%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 08:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-27 14:50
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-07-27 14:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-07-27 14:55