Language:English
Ashlyn Krueger v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ashlyn Krueger (Local)
Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV +6.23%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.149%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%29.59%29.68%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.003.6035.71%32.61%33.33%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 70.49%1.42fair odd
EV +0.097%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%70.41%70.32%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.361.371.4278.74%73.28%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 29.51%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 70.49%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.23%E +1.73%K +2.40%G +0.149% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.28%E +0.938%K +1.31%G +0.043% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +1.81%E +0.524%K +0.737%G +0.013% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.48%E -8.25%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 22:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -2.02%E -1.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -12.36%E -4.16%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
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