Idioma:Español
Ashlyn Krueger v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ashlyn Krueger (Local)
Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV +6.23%
Ventaja +1.73%
Kelly +2.40%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%29.59%29.68%33.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.003.6035.71%32.61%33.33%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 70.49%1.42momio equitativo
EV +0.097%
Ventaja +0.068%
Kelly +0.231%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.35%70.41%70.32%73.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.361.371.4278.74%73.28%72.99%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 29.51%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 70.49%. Para Ashlyn Krueger (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.39. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.23%E +1.73%K +2.40%G +0.149% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.28%E +0.938%K +1.31%G +0.043% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +1.81%E +0.524%K +0.737%G +0.013% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.48%E -8.25%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 22:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -2.02%E -1.45%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -12.36%E -4.16%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |