Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ashlyn Krueger v Naomi Osaka

2026-07-29 14:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.526%
Kelly +0.717%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.98%27.08%30.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.7732.26%28.43%28.57%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 72.95%1.37momio equitativo
EV -0.790%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.84%73.02%72.92%74.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3680.00%77.55%77.52%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV +1.98%E +0.526%K +0.717%G +0.014%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:15
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.44%E +0.385%K +0.525%G +0.008%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 20:19
DraftKings3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV +0.632%E +0.170%K +0.232%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:35
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:35
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:35
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:35
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.091%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 19:34
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.26%E -0.346%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.36%E -5.79%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.26%E -0.346%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.36%E -5.79%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.80%E -0.497%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 19:54
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.80%E -0.497%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 19:54
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 16:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.09%E -6.42%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 19:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:04
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 16:59
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 20:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 20:35
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:34
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:34
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:14
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 17:00
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 16:59
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.36%E -5.79%K -27.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 18:29
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:19
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 17:34
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 16:59
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.81%E -7.05%K -35.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 16:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 17:03
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.17%E -3.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 17:00
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -14.79%E -4.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.790%E -0.581%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -8.81%E -7.05%K -35.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-07-28 18:55
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-07-28 19:00
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.6%2026-07-28 20:35
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%4.0%2026-07-28 19:25