默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ashlyn Krueger v Naomi Osaka

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 22:37 UTC

最终结果: Ashlyn Krueger 0–1 Naomi Osaka

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ashlyn Krueger (主队)

预测 29.51%3.39公平赔率
EV +6.23%
优势 +1.73%
Kelly +2.40%
增长率 +0.149%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.38%29.59%29.68%33.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.073.003.6035.71%32.61%33.33%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Naomi Osaka (客队)

预测 70.49%1.42公平赔率
EV +0.097%
优势 +0.068%
Kelly +0.231%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
66.35%70.41%70.32%73.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.361.371.4278.74%73.28%72.99%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Ashlyn Krueger (主队):29.51%;Naomi Osaka (客队):70.49%。 对于“Ashlyn Krueger (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.60,对应+6.23%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.23%E +1.73%K +2.40%G +0.149%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.28%E +0.938%K +1.31%G +0.043%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:30
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +1.81%E +0.524%K +0.737%G +0.013%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:30
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:30
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 22:20
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:35
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.48%E -8.25%K -38.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 22:33
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:20
ReBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:15
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:20
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 22:35
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:25
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:30
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 22:05
SportsBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 22:35
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:10
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -2.02%E -1.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:34
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:35
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:35
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:29
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -12.36%E -4.16%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:10
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 22:00
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 22:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-29 22:35
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-07-29 22:35
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%2.4%2026-07-29 22:35
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-07-29 22:30