Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ashlyn Krueger v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-29 22:37 UTC

Score final : Ashlyn Krueger 0–1 Naomi Osaka

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Prévision 29.51%3.39cote équitable
EV +6.23%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +2.40%
Croissance +0.149%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%29.59%29.68%33.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.003.6035.71%32.61%33.33%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.49%1.42cote équitable
EV +0.097%
Avantage +0.068%
Kelly +0.231%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.35%70.41%70.32%73.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.361.371.4278.74%73.28%72.99%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ashlyn Krueger (Local) : 29.51% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 70.49%. Pour Ashlyn Krueger (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +6.23%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.23%E +1.73%K +2.40%G +0.149%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.28%E +0.938%K +1.31%G +0.043%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:30
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +1.81%E +0.524%K +0.737%G +0.013%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:30
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:30
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.331%E +0.097%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 22:20
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:35
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.36%E -6.43%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.62%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.48%E -8.25%K -38.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 22:33
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:20
ReBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.84%E -3.58%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.98%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:15
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:20
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 22:35
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:25
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:30
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.52%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 22:05
SportsBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 22:35
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.95%E -5.27%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:10
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -2.02%E -1.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.43%E -2.50%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:34
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:35
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:35
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.47%E -3.82%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 22:29
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -12.36%E -4.16%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.42%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -15.01%E -5.21%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -0.608%E -0.431%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:10
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -15.31%E -5.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.90%E -5.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.31%E -0.938%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 22:00
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.097%E +0.068%K +0.231%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -17.37%E -6.21%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -2.72%E -1.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-29 22:35
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-07-29 22:35
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-07-29 22:35
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%2.4%2026-07-29 22:35
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-07-29 22:30