Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.28
assuming max odds 4.23
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 76.11%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 23.89%. For Cristina Bucsa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.04%E +0.247%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.867%E -0.209%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 08:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -5.17%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 04:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 03:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |