StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sara Bejlek v Cristina Bucsa

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 15:02 UTC

Endstand: Sara Bejlek 1–2 Cristina Bucsa

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sara Bejlek (Heim)

Prognose 76.11%1.31faire Quote
EV -2.58%
Vorteil -2.01%
Kelly -9.20%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.77%76.16%76.19%77.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cristina Bucsa (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.89%4.19faire Quote
EV +1.04%
Vorteil +0.247%
Kelly +0.323%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.51%23.84%23.81%26.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.953.954.2327.78%25.33%25.32%23.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sara Bejlek (Heim): 76.11%; Cristina Bucsa (Auswärts): 23.89%. Für Cristina Bucsa (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.19. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.23 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.04%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.04%E +0.247%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.0%2026-08-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:04
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.867%E -0.209%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 01:04
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 15:10
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 13:45
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 13:44
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 01:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 14:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 08:53
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 03:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 22:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -5.17%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:06
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:05
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 09:15
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:20
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:21
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 04:45
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 03:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-08-31 14:35
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.9%2026-08-31 14:30
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-08-31 14:05