Idioma:Español
Sara Bejlek v Cristina Bucsa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Predicción 76.11%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -9.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.77%76.16%76.19%77.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)
Predicción 23.89%4.19momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.323%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%23.84%23.81%26.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.954.2327.78%25.33%25.32%23.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sara Bejlek (Local): 76.11%; Cristina Bucsa (Visitante): 23.89%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.19. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.23, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.04%E +0.247%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.867%E -0.209%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 08:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -5.17%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 04:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 03:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |