Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek v Cristina Bucsa

Início: 2026-08-31 15:02 UTC

Final: Sara Bejlek 1–2 Cristina Bucsa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Previsão 76.11%1.31odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -9.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.77%76.16%76.19%77.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Previsão 23.89%4.19odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.247%
Kelly +0.323%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.51%23.84%23.81%26.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.953.954.2327.78%25.33%25.32%23.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sara Bejlek (Local): 76.11%; Cristina Bucsa (Visitante): 23.89%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.19. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.23, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.04%E +0.247%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.0%2026-08-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:04
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.867%E -0.209%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 01:04
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.26%E -0.804%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 15:10
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 13:45
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 13:44
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 01:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 14:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 08:53
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 03:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 22:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -5.17%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.64%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:06
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:05
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 09:15
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:20
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:21
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 04:45
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 03:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-08-31 14:35
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.9%2026-08-31 14:30
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-08-31 14:05