Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff

2026-09-03 23:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paula Badosa (Local)

Prediction 15.32%6.53fair odd
EV +7.24%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.49%15.20%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.286.257.0020.00%15.92%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 84.68%1.18fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -11.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%84.51%84.80%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1691.74%89.78%90.09%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paula Badosa (Local): 15.32%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 84.68%. For Paula Badosa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.53. 20 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +7.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.31%E -3.82%K -33.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 21:30
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:00
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.24%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.087%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.41%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.70%E -7.06%K -85.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:10
GTbets🎯6.56I 15.24%NM 15.03%EV +0.502%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.97%EV -1.77%E -1.53%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-02 22:30
1xBet🎯6.56I 15.24%NM 14.58%EV +0.502%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.42%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.417%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:00
DraftKings🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.95%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -2.72%E -0.428%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:35
Fanatics🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.25%E -0.680%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 22:55
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.25%E -0.680%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:30
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.25%E -0.680%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.25%E -0.680%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.25%E -0.680%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 21:25
NordicBet🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.71%E -0.757%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:53
Betsson🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.71%E -0.757%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:53
MyBookie.ag🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -6.55%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.31%E -3.82%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:25
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.31%E -3.82%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:55
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:31
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:36
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:25
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.16%E -4.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:25
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.08%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 21:25
ReBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 23:00
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -14.21%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.01%E -5.41%K -54.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 22:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.74%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.04%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.74%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.04%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.74%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.04%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:25
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.74%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.47%E -3.04%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -20.33%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -6.85%E -6.23%K -68.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 22:53
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -21.87%E -4.29%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.70%E -7.06%K -85.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 22:54
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -23.40%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -1.77%E -1.53%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.40%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.62%E -2.28%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -23.40%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -7.70%E -7.06%K -85.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 21:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-09-02 22:25
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%3.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Novig6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%6.7%2026-09-02 22:55