StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 23:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Paula Badosa 0–2 Coco Gauff

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Paula Badosa (Hemma)

Prognos 15.53%6.44rättvist odds
EV +9.67%
Fördel +1.37%
Kelly +1.60%
Tillväxt +0.154%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.80%15.51%15.61%17.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.405.976.007.0618.52%16.76%16.67%14.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Borta)

Prognos 84.47%1.18rättvist odds
EV -2.02%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -12.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.57%84.49%84.39%86.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.51%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Paula Badosa (Hemma): 15.53%; Coco Gauff (Borta): 84.47%. För Paula Badosa (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.44. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.06, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯7.06I 14.16%NM 13.80%EV +9.67%E +1.37%K +1.60%G +0.154%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.20%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:00
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 23:02
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 09:40
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 03:49
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:00
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:20
BetAnything🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV +0.193%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:05
NetBet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:00
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:00
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:00
GTbets🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.72%EV -3.38%E -0.543%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -2.02%E -1.74%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:09
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 19:30
LeoVegas🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.24%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 22:55
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.02%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:00
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 21:30
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:30
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:10
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 04:18
BetUS🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -7.73%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:10
DraftKings🎯5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:00
ReBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:04
NordicBet🎯5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Betsson🎯5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:10
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:10
1xBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:50
Fliff🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 23:09
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:10
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:10
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 22:59
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 23:07
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.12%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-09-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Novig◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%1.8%2026-09-03 23:10