Langue:Français
Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Paula Badosa (Local)
Prévision 15.53%6.44cote équitable
EV +9.67%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.154%
avec la cote maximale 7.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.80%15.51%15.61%17.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.405.976.007.0618.52%16.76%16.67%14.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visiteur)
Prévision 84.47%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -12.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.57%84.49%84.39%86.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.51%88.50%86.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Paula Badosa (Local) : 15.53% ; Coco Gauff (Visiteur) : 84.47%. Pour Paula Badosa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.44. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.06, soit une espérance positive de +9.67%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.80%EV +9.67%E +1.37%K +1.60%G +0.154% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.20%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 23:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV +0.193%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.72%EV -3.38%E -0.543%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -2.02%E -1.74%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.24%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.02%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 04:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -7.73%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 23:07 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.12%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 1.8% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |