Idioma:Español
Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Paula Badosa (Local)
Predicción 15.53%6.44momio equitativo
EV +9.67%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.80%15.51%15.61%17.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.405.976.007.0618.52%16.76%16.67%14.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Coco Gauff (Visitante)
Predicción 84.47%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -12.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.57%84.49%84.39%86.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.51%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Paula Badosa (Local): 15.53%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 84.47%. Para Paula Badosa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.44. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.06, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.80%EV +9.67%E +1.37%K +1.60%G +0.154% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.20%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 23:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.970%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV +0.193%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.14%E -0.339%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.72%EV -3.38%E -0.543%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -2.02%E -1.74%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -3.69%E -0.595%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.24%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.02%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 04:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -7.73%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.98%EV -8.51%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -12.23%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.09%E -6.44%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -13.01%E -2.32%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.86%E -2.49%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -4.03%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.56%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.24%E -5.62%K -56.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 23:07 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.12%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.71%E -3.25%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 1.8% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |