语言:简体中文
Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Naomi Osaka (主队)
预测 70.98%1.41公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -2.55%
Kelly -9.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
69.44%70.99%70.96%72.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.341.341.3676.92%74.84%74.63%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Elise Mertens (客队)
预测 29.02%3.45公平赔率
EV +0.421%
优势 +0.122%
Kelly +0.171%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.46
博彩公司预测分布
27.66%29.01%29.04%30.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.023.263.273.4633.11%30.63%30.53%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Naomi Osaka (主队)：70.98%；Elise Mertens (客队)：29.02%。 对于“Elise Mertens (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.46，对应+0.421%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.77%E -0.827%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.06%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 07:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 06:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.32%E -3.34%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.91%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |