Idioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 70.98%1.41momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -9.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.44%70.99%70.96%72.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.341.3676.92%74.84%74.63%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 29.02%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.421%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.171%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.01%29.04%30.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.023.263.273.4633.11%30.63%30.53%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Naomi Osaka (Local): 70.98%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 29.02%. Para Elise Mertens (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.45. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.46, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.421%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.77%E -0.827%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.06%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 07:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 06:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.32%E -3.34%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.91%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |