StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 23:05 UTC

Endstand: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Elise Mertens

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka (Heim)

Prognose 70.98%1.41faire Quote
EV -3.47%
Vorteil -2.55%
Kelly -9.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.44%70.99%70.96%72.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.341.341.3676.92%74.84%74.63%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.02%3.45faire Quote
EV +0.421%
Vorteil +0.122%
Kelly +0.171%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.66%29.01%29.04%30.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.023.263.273.4633.11%30.63%30.53%28.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Naomi Osaka (Heim): 70.98%; Elise Mertens (Auswärts): 29.02%. Für Elise Mertens (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.45. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.46 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.421%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-04 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-04 11:39
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 08:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 07:15
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.77%E -0.827%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 07:45
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.06%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:31
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 11:39
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:01
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:38
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:24
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:30
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:30
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 07:10
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.32%E -3.34%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.91%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 11:10
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 11:10
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-09-04 03:10
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-04 14:10