StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 23:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Elise Mertens

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Naomi Osaka (Hemma)

Prognos 70.98%1.41rättvist odds
EV -3.47%
Fördel -2.55%
Kelly -9.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.44%70.99%70.96%72.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.341.341.3676.92%74.84%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Borta)

Prognos 29.02%3.45rättvist odds
EV +0.421%
Fördel +0.122%
Kelly +0.171%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.66%29.01%29.04%30.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.023.263.273.4633.11%30.63%30.53%28.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Naomi Osaka (Hemma): 70.98%; Elise Mertens (Borta): 29.02%. För Elise Mertens (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.45. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.46, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.421%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-04 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV +0.421%E +0.122%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-04 11:39
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 08:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 07:15
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.77%E -0.827%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 07:45
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.06%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:31
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 11:39
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.02%E -5.36%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:01
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:38
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -4.89%E -3.65%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:24
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:30
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:30
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.31%E -4.78%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.18%E -3.10%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.60%E -4.21%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 07:10
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.47%E -2.55%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.32%E -3.34%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.91%EV -7.73%E -5.95%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 11:10
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 11:10
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-09-04 03:10
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-04 14:10