Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%44.21%44.16%45.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.142.132.3048.54%46.75%46.95%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.17%55.79%55.84%58.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.54%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 44.19%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 55.81%. For Naomi Osaka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.47%E -5.17%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.756%E +0.332%K +0.591%G +0.004% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.688%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 06:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |