Langue:Français
Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%44.21%44.16%45.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.062.142.132.3048.54%46.75%46.95%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.17%55.79%55.84%58.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.54%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Naomi Osaka (Local) : 44.19% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 55.81%. Pour Naomi Osaka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.47%E -5.17%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.756%E +0.332%K +0.591%G +0.004% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.688%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 06:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |