StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-07 20:10 UTC

Endstand: Naomi Osaka 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka (Heim)

Prognose 44.19%2.26faire Quote
EV +1.64%
Vorteil +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.62%44.21%44.16%45.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.062.142.132.3048.54%46.75%46.95%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Auswärts)

Prognose 55.81%1.79faire Quote
EV -1.22%
Vorteil -0.688%
Kelly -1.58%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.17%55.79%55.84%58.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.54%58.48%56.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Naomi Osaka (Heim): 44.19%; Elena Rybakina (Auswärts): 55.81%. Für Naomi Osaka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.26. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.30 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.47%E -5.17%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.756%E +0.332%K +0.591%G +0.004%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 08:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 20:09
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 19:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 11:34
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 19:10
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:00
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 20:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 20:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.688%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 06:39
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 19:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:09
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-09-07 20:05
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-07 19:55
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-09-07 20:05