Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-09-07 20:10 UTC

Final: Naomi Osaka 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 44.19%2.26odd justa
EV +1.64%
Vantagem +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.62%44.21%44.16%45.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.062.142.132.3048.54%46.75%46.95%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 55.81%1.79odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.688%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.17%55.79%55.84%58.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.54%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Naomi Osaka (Local): 44.19%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 55.81%. Para Naomi Osaka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -8.47%E -5.17%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.756%E +0.332%K +0.591%G +0.004%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.570%E -0.253%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.59%E -5.92%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 08:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 20:09
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:05
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 19:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 11:34
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 19:10
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:00
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 20:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 20:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.87%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.688%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 09:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 06:39
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 19:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:09
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:19
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-09-07 20:05
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-09-07 20:05
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-07 19:55
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-09-07 20:05