Language:English
Naomi Osaka v Anastasia Zakharova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prediction 88.02%1.14fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -31.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.10%88.07%88.11%89.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.35%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Zakharova (Visit)
Prediction 11.98%8.35fair odd
EV +13.78%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.223%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.04%11.93%11.89%13.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.747.709.5014.81%12.91%12.99%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Naomi Osaka (Local): 88.02%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visit): 11.98%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.35. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.78%E +1.45%K +1.62%G +0.223% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +12.58%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.188% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV +10.67%E +1.15%K +1.29%G +0.138% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 02:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.00%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.00%EV -5.98%E -0.762%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 00:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 01:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 02:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -10.77%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.10%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV -11.01%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.37%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.77%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 02:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 14:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.16%E -2.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 01:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 02:15 |