默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Naomi Osaka v Anastasia Zakharova

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 02:19 UTC

最终结果: Naomi Osaka 2–0 Anastasia Zakharova

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Naomi Osaka (主队)

预测 88.02%1.14公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -2.89%
Kelly -31.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布
86.10%88.07%88.11%89.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.35%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Anastasia Zakharova (客队)

预测 11.98%8.35公平赔率
EV +13.78%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +1.62%
增长率 +0.223%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
10.04%11.93%11.89%13.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.757.747.709.5014.81%12.91%12.99%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Naomi Osaka (主队):88.02%;Anastasia Zakharova (客队):11.98%。 对于“Anastasia Zakharova (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.35。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.50,对应+13.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.78%E +1.45%K +1.62%G +0.223%4.9%2026-09-01 02:15
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +12.58%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.188%2.4%2026-09-01 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV +10.67%E +1.15%K +1.29%G +0.138%3.4%2026-09-01 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%2.9%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%3.7%2026-09-01 00:55
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%5.5%2026-09-01 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-31 22:20
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:01
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:15
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.00%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.00%EV -5.98%E -0.762%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:59
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:00
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 02:00
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -10.77%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:10
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.10%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV -11.01%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.37%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.77%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:38
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:08
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.16%E -2.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-01 01:15
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.4%2026-09-01 02:15
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-09-01 02:15
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%3.0%2026-09-01 02:15