StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka v Anastasia Zakharova

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 02:19 UTC

Endstand: Naomi Osaka 2–0 Anastasia Zakharova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Naomi Osaka (Heim)

Prognose 88.02%1.14faire Quote
EV -3.17%
Vorteil -2.89%
Kelly -31.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.10%88.07%88.11%89.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.35%92.59%90.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.98%8.35faire Quote
EV +13.78%
Vorteil +1.45%
Kelly +1.62%
Wachstum +0.223%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.04%11.93%11.89%13.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.757.747.709.5014.81%12.91%12.99%10.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Naomi Osaka (Heim): 88.02%; Anastasia Zakharova (Auswärts): 11.98%. Für Anastasia Zakharova (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.35. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.78%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.78%E +1.45%K +1.62%G +0.223%4.9%2026-09-01 02:15
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +12.58%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.188%2.4%2026-09-01 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV +10.67%E +1.15%K +1.29%G +0.138%3.4%2026-09-01 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%2.9%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%3.7%2026-09-01 00:55
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%5.5%2026-09-01 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-31 22:20
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:01
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:15
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.00%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.00%EV -5.98%E -0.762%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:59
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:00
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 02:00
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -10.77%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:10
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.10%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV -11.01%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.37%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.77%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:38
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:08
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.16%E -2.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-01 01:15
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.4%2026-09-01 02:15
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-09-01 02:15
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%3.0%2026-09-01 02:15