Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka v Anastasia Zakharova

Início: 2026-09-01 02:19 UTC

Final: Naomi Osaka 2–0 Anastasia Zakharova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 88.02%1.14odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -2.89%
Kelly -31.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.10%88.07%88.11%89.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.35%92.59%90.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante)

Previsão 11.98%8.35odd justa
EV +13.78%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.223%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.04%11.93%11.89%13.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.757.747.709.5014.81%12.91%12.99%10.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Naomi Osaka (Local): 88.02%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante): 11.98%. Para Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.35. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.78%E +1.45%K +1.62%G +0.223%4.9%2026-09-01 02:15
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%EV +12.58%E +1.34%K +1.50%G +0.188%2.4%2026-09-01 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +10.79%E +1.17%K +1.31%G +0.141%4.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV +10.67%E +1.15%K +1.29%G +0.138%3.4%2026-09-01 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%2.9%2026-09-01 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%3.7%2026-09-01 00:55
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.79%E +0.866%K +0.974%G +0.076%5.5%2026-09-01 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.80%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-31 22:20
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -1.79%E -0.218%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:01
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:15
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.19%E -0.523%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:50
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.00%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.00%EV -5.98%E -0.762%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.58%E -0.844%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:59
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.70%E -6.32%K -111.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -7.18%E -0.926%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.78%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:00
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.72%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.28%EV -8.50%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:55
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 02:00
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.82%E -5.43%K -83.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.17%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -10.77%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:10
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.10%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV -11.01%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.37%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.77%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:38
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.89%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:08
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.57%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.16%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.05%E -3.72%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.16%E -2.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-01 02:10
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-01 01:15
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-01 02:10
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.4%2026-09-01 02:15
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-09-01 02:15
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%3.0%2026-09-01 02:15