Language:English
Nadia Podoroska v Simona Waltert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nadia Podoroska (Local)
Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.33%36.41%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.7040.00%38.07%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Simona Waltert (Visit)
Prediction 63.61%1.57fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%63.67%63.59%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.501.5269.44%67.38%66.89%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nadia Podoroska (Local): 36.39%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 63.61%. For Nadia Podoroska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.57%E -2.98%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |