Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nadia Podoroska v Simona Waltert

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 18:25 UTC

Score final : Nadia Podoroska 2–1 Simona Waltert

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nadia Podoroska (Local)

Prévision 36.39%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.94%36.33%36.41%37.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.7040.00%38.07%38.17%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Simona Waltert (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.61%1.57cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%63.67%63.59%65.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.481.501.5269.44%67.38%66.89%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nadia Podoroska (Local) : 36.39% ; Simona Waltert (Visiteur) : 63.61%. Pour Nadia Podoroska (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.75. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.70, pour une espérance de -1.75% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:39
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:01
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:10
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:40
ReBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 08:39
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:01
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:45
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Betsson🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:01
NordicBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:00
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:40
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:45
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.57%E -2.98%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:05
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-31 18:15
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-31 18:00
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-31 17:50
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-08-31 18:20