Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nadia Podoroska v Simona Waltert

Início: 2026-08-31 18:25 UTC

Final: Nadia Podoroska 2–1 Simona Waltert

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nadia Podoroska (Local)

Previsão 36.39%2.75odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.649%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.94%36.33%36.41%37.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.622.7040.00%38.07%38.17%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Simona Waltert (Visitante)

Previsão 63.61%1.57odd justa
EV -3.31%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -6.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.19%63.67%63.59%65.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.481.501.5269.44%67.38%66.89%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nadia Podoroska (Local): 36.39%; Simona Waltert (Visitante): 63.61%. Para Nadia Podoroska (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.70, com valor esperado de -1.75%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:39
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:01
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:10
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:40
ReBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 08:39
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:01
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:00
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:45
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Betsson🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:01
NordicBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:00
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:40
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:45
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.57%E -2.98%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:05
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-31 18:15
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-31 18:00
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-31 17:50
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-08-31 18:20