Idioma:Español
Nadia Podoroska v Simona Waltert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nadia Podoroska (Local)
Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%36.33%36.41%37.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.632.622.7040.00%38.07%38.17%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Simona Waltert (Visitante)
Predicción 63.61%1.57momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%63.67%63.59%65.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.501.5269.44%67.38%66.89%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nadia Podoroska (Local): 36.39%; Simona Waltert (Visitante): 63.61%. Para Nadia Podoroska (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.75. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.70, con un valor esperado de -1.75%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.48%E -0.926%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.57%E -2.98%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |