Language:English
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maya Joint (Local)
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%29.45%29.20%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.5633.33%31.24%31.25%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 70.68%1.41fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.55%70.80%73.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.04%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maya Joint (Local): 29.32%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 70.68%. For Maya Joint (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV +4.37%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +4.08%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.065% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.41%E -5.65%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.266%E +0.078%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.320%E -0.094%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.37%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.96%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.04%E -0.746%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |