Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-08-31 21:16 UTC

Final: Maya Joint 2–1 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint (Local)

Previsão 29.32%3.41odd justa
EV +4.37%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.75%29.45%29.20%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.5633.33%31.24%31.25%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 70.68%1.41odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.746%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.55%70.80%73.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.04%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maya Joint (Local): 29.32%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 70.68%. Para Maya Joint (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.37%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV +4.37%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:39
FanDuel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +4.08%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.065%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.41%E -5.65%K -23.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 16:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:40
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:39
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.266%E +0.078%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-31 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.320%E -0.094%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:50
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 21:14
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.37%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 20:40
ReBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 19:25
DraftKings🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:36
GTbets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.96%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 15:30
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:40
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:10
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:30
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 14:16
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:30
Fanatics🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:04
NordicBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Betsson🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:20
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:05
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:04
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:04
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:04
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:15
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:41
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:50
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.04%E -0.746%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 14:30
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-31 21:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-31 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-31 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-31 21:06
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-31 20:45
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-08-31 21:15
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-08-31 21:15