Langue:Français
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maya Joint (Local)
Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV +4.37%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.075%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.75%29.45%29.20%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.5633.33%31.24%31.25%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.68%1.41cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.746%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%70.55%70.80%73.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.04%73.53%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maya Joint (Local) : 29.32% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 70.68%. Pour Maya Joint (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.56, soit une espérance positive de +4.37%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV +4.37%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +4.08%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.065% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.41%E -5.65%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.266%E +0.078%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.320%E -0.094%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.37%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.96%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.04%E -0.746%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |