Idioma:Español
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maya Joint (Local)
Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV +4.37%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.75%29.45%29.20%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.5633.33%31.24%31.25%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 70.68%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.55%70.80%73.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.04%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maya Joint (Local): 29.32%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 70.68%. Para Maya Joint (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.37%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV +4.37%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +4.08%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.065% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -7.41%E -5.65%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.61%E +0.746%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.266%E +0.078%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.320%E -0.094%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.37%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.803%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.96%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 14:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -5.99%E -4.51%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.29%E -3.94%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.17%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.04%E -0.746%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |