语言:简体中文
Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marta Kostyuk (主队)
预测 85.54%1.17公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -2.18%
Kelly -17.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
82.83%85.64%85.53%87.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.80%90.09%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sloane Stephens (客队)
预测 14.46%6.92公平赔率
EV +8.42%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
增长率 +0.109%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.79%14.36%14.47%17.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.436.507.5018.18%15.56%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marta Kostyuk (主队)：85.54%；Sloane Stephens (客队)：14.46%。 对于“Sloane Stephens (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.92。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+8.42%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 05:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.08%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.16%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +2.64%E +0.372%K +0.433%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +1.63%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -4.45%E -0.672%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.73%E -0.718%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 05:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 07:37 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 05:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -8.93%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -11.09%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 07:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -12.54%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 07:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.49%E -3.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 17:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |